Advanced search ?

Object

Public Support for Emigration Post-EU Accession: An LM Model Analysis
Download

Title: Public Support for Emigration Post-EU Accession: An LM Model Analysis

Title in english:

Poparcie społeczne dla emigracji po przystąpieniu do UE: analiza z wykorzystaniem ukrytych modeli LM

Creator:

Genge, Ewa

Description:

Econometrics = Ekonometria, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 3, s. 9-23

Abstrakt:

Aim: Since 2004 European countries, such as Germany and the United Kingdom, have noted an unusual upward trend of migrants from Central and Eastern Europe. The author aimed to examine the popular perception of emigration from Poland in the years following EU accession. Moreover, the study presents the effect of the observed socio-economic features (i.e. age, education, marital status, socio-professional status) affecting the conditional probabilities of the response variable, considering also the unobserved heterogeneity between the respondents representing Polish society. Methodology: The study was based on the Latent Markov (LM) models which allowed finding homogenous groups of respondents on the basis of their definite responses measured at different points in time. The author compared the respondents behaviour in the groups arriving just after EU accession, in relation to the other surveyed surges in migration using the Latent Markov models with different types of constraints. Then, to show the effect of observable socio-economic characteristics, taking into account the unobserved heterogeneity between the subjects, the study employed the version including the covariates in the measurement part of the model. Results: Based on the Polish longitudinal social survey, i.e. Social Diagnosis, the study shows that the analysed data can be explained by two latent states of Poles sharing the same propensity towards emigration. It was observed that Poles were more stable in their feelings concerning their approach to the emigration in the period 2011–2015 (following the first post-accession phase). Based on the available (time-constant and time-varying) covariates, the author demonstrated that certain types of people are more prone to migrate than others. Implications and recommendations: The presented approach could be applied to data from other economies – both within the EU and outside it – which have also seen massive outflows of people, to show the changing behaviour of society. This methodology might also be helpful with policy challenges and the effective management of migration, as well as for future data concerning the attitudes towards refugees from Ukraine coming to Poland at present. Originality/value: Unlike previous studies, the author assumed that the attitudes toward emigration can vary on the response variable, i.e. because of the unobserved covariate such as ‘patriotic behaviour’ (unobserved heterogeneity), which may change over time. The study applied the appropriate LM techniques extended to include the covariates in the measurement part of the LM model and the longitudinal weights of the survey. Note that the applied model also allowed achieving a better measure-of-fit compared to the standard random-effect model, and the parameters of the LM model additionally enabled to evaluate the dynamic of the latent trait.

Publisher:

Publishing House of Wroclaw University of Economics and Business

Place of publication:

Wroclaw

Date:

2024

Resource Type:

artykuł

Resource Identifier:

doi:10.15611/eada.2024.3.02 ; oai:dbc.wroc.pl:128587

Language:

eng

Relation:

Econometrics = Ekonometria, 2024, Vol. 28, No. 3

Rights:

Pewne prawa zastrzeżone na rzecz Autorów i Wydawcy

Access Rights:

Dla wszystkich zgodnie z licencją

License:

CC BY-SA 4.0

Location:

Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu

Group publication title:

Ekonometria = Econometrics

Subject and keywords:

constrained Latent Markov (LM) model covariates emigration unobserved heterogeneity longitudinal data emigracja heterogeniczny oraz częściowo-heterogeniczny ukryty model Markowa niejednorodność zmienne towarzyszące

Object collections:

Last modified:

Nov 12, 2024

In our library since:

Nov 12, 2024

Number of object content hits:

25

All available object's versions:

https://dbc.wroc.pl./publication/167102

Show description in RDF format:

RDF

Show description in OAI-PMH format:

OAI-PMH

Edition name Date
Public Support for Emigration Post-EU Accession: An LM Model Analysis Nov 12, 2024

Similar

Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Zmienne towarzyszące w ukrytym modelu Markowa – analiza oszczędności polskich gospodarstw domowych

Genge, Ewa

2016
artykuł
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Dekompozycja strumieni emigracyjnych w regionach Polski w latach 2002 i 2011

Iwińska, Katarzyna

2016
artykuł
Ekonometria = Econometrics
Ekonometria = Econometrics

Graphical tools of discrete longitudinal data presentation in R

Genge, Ewa

2019
artykuł
Nauki Społeczne
Nauki Społeczne

Współczesne migracje z Polski – próba oceny statystycznej zjawiska w latach 2004-2013

Kwiatkowska, Małgorzata Jurkiewicz, Zuzanna

2015
artykuł
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Przyczyny i struktura emigracji obywateli Litwy w okresie 2003-2013.

Wołkonowski, Jarosław

2014
artykuł
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Przyczyny i struktura emigracji obywateli Polski po akcesji do UE. Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu = Research Papers of Wrocław University of Economics, 2015, Nr 401, s. 587-600

Wołkonowski, Jarosław

2015
artykuł
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Emigracja z Polski i jej skutki dla rodzin

Maruszewska, Katarzyna

2013
artykuł
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu
Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu

Skłonność studentów województwa świętokrzyskiego do zagranicznych emigracji zarobkowych. Prace Naukowe Uniwersytetu Ekonomicznego we Wrocławiu = Research Papers of Wrocław University of Economics, 2015, Nr 401, s. 555-565

Witczak-Roszkowska, Danuta Okła, Karolina

2015
artykuł
More
×

Citation

Citation style:

Contact details

Address

Wrocław University of Science and Technology (Coordinator)
Library of Wrocław University of Science and Technology
Wybrzeże Wyspiańskiego 27
50-370 Wrocław, Poland

Phone

(+48) 71-320-38-30
(+48) 71-320-47-50

E-Mail

bc@pwr.edu.pl

Visit us!

https://biblioteka.pwr.edu.pl/

This page uses 'cookies'. More information